This paper examines the causal architecture of the ongoing West Asia conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran, and its cascading effects on global energy markets and India’s energy security. With crude oil import dependency reaching nearly 89 percent in FY 2023–24, India remains acutely vulnerable to disruptions along the Strait of Hormuz. The paper argues that the resulting LPG supply shock stems from calculated escalation rooted in four interlocking causes: Iran’s contested nuclear ambitions, the collapse of the JCPOA, militarization dynamics seen in the Twelve-Day War, and the theoretical relationship between petrostates and militarized interstate disputes — situating India’s predicament within a condition of “dual energy dependency.”