
From Make in India to Atmanirbhar Bharat: An Empirical Analysis of Rising Import Tariffs and Domestic Manufacturing (2014–2025)
This study examines whether India’s shift toward higher tariffs under Make in India and Atmanirbhar Bharat strengthened domestic manufacturing between 2014 and 2025. Despite a marked rise in import duties, manufacturing’s share of national output remained broadly stagnant. Regression and structural-break analysis find that tariffs alone did not drive aggregate manufacturing growth, but their effects improved during the Atmanirbhar Bharat period when paired with Production-Linked Incentive schemes. Evidence from electronics, pharmaceuticals, and telecom suggests that performance-linked support can produce sector-specific gains, while raising concerns about input costs, global value-chain integration, and export competitiveness.








